High fives all around.

Looks like there's life after the war after all, eh, ye infallible dispensers of conventional wisdom?


Check this Zogby poll re Iowa

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNe...News.dbm? ID=703


MAPLE POWERED HOWARD!


If you read the link to the poll it also cited another poll with Kerry at 28% and Dean at 21%. I wish I knew what poll to believe.

For the last two weeks Dean has been averaging 245 new meetup members a day. I just noticed that in the last 2 hours, 300 people signed up and were now over 21000. I will take this as a very positive development!


Ignoring margin of error for the moment, Gep and Lieberman are moving voters from favorable to unfavorable in that Iowa poll (so is Edwards); Kerry's unfamiliars seem to be breeding contempt. Dean's tripled his support and still has lots of room to grow. He seems to be the one with the most traction - he's the ONLY candidate whose favorables went up (but keep those MOEs in mind!)


It's too bad that Ben and Jerry's is no longer owned by Ben and Jerry. I bet they would have made "Maple Powered Howard" and then everyone across the country would know about Dean.


I keep telling people to ignore the numbers -- believe it or not 28% to 21% is the same as 23% to 23%. There have been 4 polls out now all having Howard Dean at between 19% and 23% -- the same four polls have Kerry between 21% and 28%. And all these polls have a 3% to 5% margin of error -- no matter how you slice it what all these polls are saying is that New Hamshire has turned into a tight race (at this point) between Kerry and Dean -- with both of them in the 20's -- Period and that is all it means.

The question is who would be worried about these numbers?

Hint: Not the Dean for America Campaign.

Joe Trippi
Campaign Manager
Dean for America


Good News in NH. Regarding Iowa and the Zogby poll however, Even though Dean numbers are not up there yet, he is improving. The amazing thing about Iowa is that 69% of those polled are "Unfamiliar" with Dean. Thats a huge amount. We've got to get Dean's name out there and his message. With all the buzz we generate on line, its interesting to note that the mainstream outlets where people get their news still have little info on Dean.


Not to mention the "undecideds" continue to win in all of these polls.


I was just going over the Dean web site. It looks like a quantum leap from a month ago. Brochure downloads, Video downloads, meetup downloads, a complete package for directing this grasroots effort towards the goal of electing Howard Dean. It's quite impressive. The Dean camp has done a great job in putting together this resource.

Of course the posters to this blog, with their creative suggestions, certainly helped.

Meetup seems to be on fire, reeling in members this afternoon at the rate of 100 an hour.


Good points about the Dean web site, Robert! I would add that there could be room for a little improvement to the "in the news" section. It needs to be updated a lot more often than it currently is. Right now, the most recent news story posted is from 4/17! I think Dean has been in the news a little since then.


The speeches could also come up a lot more quickly. Does the governor tend to do a last minute rewrites? My guess is there are a lot of willing transcribers on this board--and in general I would be happy to get instructions as well as explanations from the great Joe Trippi.

But over all the website is great, and much improved in a very short period of time.

The poll result that is really cheering to me is 6% support with only 31% name recognition in Iowa. (Of course that's got a large margin of error too.)


does the site have any spanish translations? Kerry's site does a good job of having a Spanish section. if they need someone to translate stuff into chinese, russian, or spanish, i have ready and willing volunteers!


IHL:

http://translate.fordean.org/Dea...s/ Translate.asp


I think the Dean website should offer RSS feeds for it's changing sections.

The "main story" of the day which shows up on the front page is in reality a weblog. I would like to subscribe to it.

Ditto for the "in the news" section and the speeches.


Luke, to which Dean site are you referring? I know the official blog has an xml feed - is that what you're talking about?
I bet if you send them a suggestion (either for translations or for rss), they'd hook it up.


oh duh, nevermind. i'm tired. send them the suggestion. =)


Are y'all looking at the same official site that I am? Tell me if I'm missing something, but on deanforamerica.com I don't see any link to videos or brochures. I only found this brochure page from the Meetup page:
http://deanforamerica.com/dean.c...&page=downloads

I actually think the official site needs a lot of work. I haven't directed people to the site, because it's not really a very good source of info on Dean. This blog (dean2004.blogspot) is the only place people can go to get video and news clippings that really give a sense of Dean, but it's not really even good for that since the site is really set up more for Dean enthusiasts than people trying to learn about Dean. You have to scroll way down to find the video and press stories.

The main role of the official site should be to get people who don't know about Dean excited about his candidacy, after they've somehow (probably through Googling his name) ended up at the website. I don't think it's set up now to do that. I haven't thought about a grand redesign for the website, but I have the following suggestions:

1) Keep the speeches current (as others have said)

2) On the main page highlight and include a link to one recent video profile of Dean--perhaps the CBS News piece. Whatever it is, it should be in streaming form and in both high bandwidth and low bandwidth forms, so that that people with dialup connections can watch it and not have to download the entire thing. Most people who go the website are not grad students with a university connection like me but people dialing in with AOL. (The CBS piece is in Real format, but for some reason it won't stream--I think it's not set up to stream. If I were more savvy with this I'd do the conversion myself. Maybe somebody else could do this?)

3) Also highlight and include a link to one or two choice press stories. The news section now is OK, but I think there should be a longer profile to give people more of a sense of Dean. I like the NY Magazine story at
http://www.newyorkmetro.com/nyme...8376/ index.html
but maybe other people have better suggestions.

4) Include a prominent link to Rick Lau's press clippings file at
http://www.rklau.com/dean2004/mi...misc/ press.html
I would suggest a link to the audio/video file as well, but it looks like he hasn't updated it in a month.


After writing the above posting, I learned about RealVideo. You need Helix Producer Plus to convert .rm or .ram files to lower quality versions, and it costs $200. To broadcast streaming video, you need to have a server from which to run Helix Universal Server (the basic version is free).

With Producer Basic I produced a 2.5 MB RealVideo version of the 30 MB SF speech video, and that's now on my weblog. Dean doesn't look quite as good as in the original Quicktime version, and the audio's scratchy at points, but it's small enough that someone with a dialup connection could download it.


What I think is really interesting is that if you go to the poll (http://www.fpc.edu/pages/institutes/poll/ poll_03_0506.pdf) you'll see that Dean is leading Kerry among men (by a 3-point margin) while Kerry leads among women (by a 4-point margin). Yes, it's within the margin of error, but it's still interesting and bears watching to see whether it develops into a larger gender gap.