06/26/2002 Archived Entry: "Primaries: AL, SC, UT"
In Alabama, Davis beat the incumbent Hillard, making this the 3rd Democratic incumbent that has lost in a primary. Considering that 98% of incumbents in the House win re-election, that's quite surprising.
In South Carolina, Sanford won the run-off, and will be in a tight contest with Hodges. Hodges now the underdog, squeezed between GOP Upstate, Sanford's Low country base presses a bit much, especially with reference to Sanford's Kennedyesque manners, lol. Since when is that a virtue that Republicans in SC find praise for?
Utah had the races that were noteworthy. First, start with this poll put out the day previous, showing us the match-ups for Matheson. The article is here, Matheson looking formidable. It shows that Bridgewater faces tougher odds than does Swallow, with Matheson holding a 20 percent lead instead of a 13 percent advantage. The result, Swallow claims narrow win in 2nd District means that Matheson will have a stronger challenge, still a lean toward Matheson.
In the 1st District, Demos cheer outcomes of races in the 1st District, and you can read why. Thomas has a shot at winning this race.
Bishop upset the favored Garn, and seems like a lackluster candidate, who was surprised he even won. Part of the reason why Thomas won was due to independents who did not want to register as Republicans to vote in their primary, Closed GOP primary repels voters. In a state where Independents make up 75% of the voters, they are who decide the elections. The Bush-backed Yucca mt nuke dump doesn't help the neighboring GOP state.
As the poll shows, as far as electability goes, the right Democrat (Thomas is a Bishop in the LDS) won, and the wrong Republican one. So this race comes onto the radar, starting with a Lean to the Republican Bishop, until we see some head-to-head poll numbers.
Replies: 4 comments
More nonsense from Washington insider David Broder..."Republican hopes for the mid term elections in the House look bright."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A45369-2002Jun25.html
Obviously, he is not looking at the latest polls and the stock market dive.
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 06/26/2002 01:42 PM PST
Are you surprised that the numbers in the financial reports may have portended impending disaster, while the financial analysts asked you to ignore the numbers and buy the stocks? Well, while the world's attention is focussed on financial analysts and auditors who ignored signs of an impending disaster at Enron and World Com, we have a similar situation regarding our political analysts, particularly Washington insiders.
While opinion polls in recent days have indicated an impending disaster for the GOP at the Congressional levels:
http://www.pollingreport.com/cong2002.htm
this is what David Broder quoting from the Cook Political Report wrote today:
"If things go according to form, a delegation that is now nine to seven Democratic will have nine Republicans and only six Democrats. That shift alone represents a major insurance policy for Republicans' efforts to maintain their current 222-211 overall majority.
The Michigan maneuver is one of several reasons that the Cook Political Report, written by Amy Walter and edited by Charlie Cook, says, "Our view is that there is a 60 percent, perhaps even as high as 70 percent, chance that Republicans will hold onto their narrow majority in the House.""
Obviously the higher ups and the editors dont check into this misrepresentation...just like senior auditors did not look into the fraud and mistakes in numbers for Enron and World Com.
We all now know what happened to Enron and World Com...and perhaps if the numbers hold we all would know on the morning of November 5, the fate of the GOP. But, as usual, neither the Washington insiders nor Goeas and others in the Battleground Poll would be held responsible for their misrepresentation.
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 06/26/2002 03:00 PM PST
Raj, it's a honor to have you here. I'm a friend of mydd's. You can visit my website at the URl I have.
Tonight was mostly good for us. Davis won, which is great with me, being a strong supporter of Israel. Also, we may have a shot at Utah 1, which is superb. However, Sanford won, which means both Seigelman and Hodges could lose.
Posted by Mr. Liberal @ 06/26/2002 03:20 PM PST
Thanks. Here is more fraud from Mr. Fraud...the Battleground Poll...Lake and Goeas...as in 2000, they say that the GOP is more likely to vote...yes, they also predicted that Bush would win 345 electoral votes.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A45250-2002Jun25.html
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 06/26/2002 03:28 PM PST
