07/06/2002 Archived Entry: "McBride's train is coming"

McBride vs. Bush
McBride 31%
Bush 49%
Don't Know 20%

The incumbent is below 50%, the challenger has 9% negatives. The challenger is unknown by 49% of the voters, and his first commercials roll out this month. The challenger's primary opponent has 100% name ID, less than 50% support, and an unfavorable rating of 48%. Besides, Reno's campaign is imploding, Three key workers quit Reno campaign. Reno's campaign making these late changes signals more than just questions about organization. The endorsement of McBride by Peterson played wide and well in the state. Jeb-n-Rove see the train coming, that's why they have this race down as "possible takeover" for the Democrats.

Replies: 1 Comment

I'm a Florida Democrat and am truly confused as to what would be better for the party this year. I really want to support Reno, but I also want to beat Bush. I just wish that she didn't have so many negatives.

I think Reno can win though. I read how she intends to run. She is looking to increase the base turnout of DEM voters high enough that she can overcome Jeb. She thinks he won on 1998 because DEMS failed to show up. But Al Gore showing in Florida as well as Lawton Chiles' defeat of Bush in the very conservative year of 1994, shows that the DEM base vote is enough to win in Florida.

The problem with this though is that she needs money and people skilled enough on her campaign to make the strategy work.

Posted by Ced @ 07/08/2002 06:49 AM PST