07/29/2002 Archived Entry: "TN Primary prediction contest:"

State your predictions here in your comments. Winners will be announced in each race according to three measures: 1) picking the winner; 2) closeness in margin of victory; 3) tiebreaker-- closest to predicting the winners total percentage of vote, if still tied, 2nd place...

Predictions will be accepted up until the polls close at 7 PM central time on Thursday, August 1st. View election results at this website.

Here are the races to predict:

Governor

Democratic Primary:
ex-Nashville Mayor '94 nominee Phil Bredesen (D), D.A. Randy Nichols (D), state Board of Regents Chancellor Charles Smith (D).

Republican Primary:
U.S. Rep. William V. "Van" Hilleary (R), ex-St. Rep. James M. "Jim" Henry (R).

US Senate

Republican Primary:
U.S. Rep. Ed Bryant (R), ex-Gov. Lamar Alexander (R)

4th Congressional District

Democratic Primary:
St. Sen. Lincoln Davis (D), retired executive Fran F. Marcum (D)

Republican Primary:
alderman Janice H. Bowling (R), attorney John R. Bumpus (R), pilot Mike Coffield (R), St. Safety Comm'r. Mike Greene (R), Harvey Howard (R), restaurant owner Andy Ogles (R)

5th Congressional District

Democratic Primary:
St. Rep. John Arriola (D), ex-U.S. Rep. / '94 Senate nominee James H. "Jim" Cooper (D), social worker Carlton Cornett (D), engineer Adam Cox (D), lobbyist David C. Mills (D), Sheriff Gayle Ray (D)

7th Congressional District

Republican Primary:

'92 nominee / St. Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R), ex-Lakeland vice Mayor / physician Lupo "Sonny" Carlota (R), attorney / '00 Bush TN campaign manager David Kustoff (R), St. Sen. Mark Norris (R), attorney / ex-army ranger N. B. Forrest Shoaf (R), truck drive / farmer Randy Starkey (R), City councilmember Brent Taylor (R)

Replies: 8 comments

Phil Bredesen - Dem Gov
Van Hilleary - Rep Gov
Lamar Alexander - US Senate
Lincoln Davis - 4th Dem
Janice Bowling - 4th Rep
Gayle Ray - 5th Dem
Marsha Blackburn -7th Rep

Ray is the longshot. Two weeks ago I would have picked Marcum but the business climate has shifted the tide towards Davis.

Posted by Michael @ 07/30/2002 09:50 AM PST

Bredesen and Van Hilleary win big; Lamar! by 10.

Posted by CA Pol Junkie @ 07/30/2002 09:59 AM PST

Lamar 58 - 42
Van hilary 62 - 38
Phil B - 70 - 25 - 5

Posted by jim @ 07/30/2002 10:09 AM PST

Bredesan 72%
Hilleary 63%
Bryant 52% Alexander 48%

Posted by TOM @ 07/30/2002 11:15 AM PST

Bredesen vs Hilleary for Governor

Bryant 50% Alexander 47%

Davis vs Greene in the 4th

Cooper 41% Ray 35%

Blackburn in a romp

Posted by C.D. @ 07/30/2002 09:44 PM PST

Bredesen Dem Gov 60% of the vote

Hilleary Rep Gov 52% of the vote

Alexander Rep Senate 54% of the vote

Posted by GaDem @ 08/01/2002 12:32 PM PST

D Gov: Bredeson 80%

R Gov: Hilleary 55% Henry 35%

R Senate: Alexander 54% Bryant 42%

4th: Davis vs Bowling

5th: Cooper

7th: Blackburn

Posted by myDD @ 08/01/2002 12:39 PM PST

Gov: D Bredeson 73%
R Hillary 52%

Sen: R Bryant 50%

4th Davis
5th Cooper

Posted by MississippiDem @ 08/01/2002 02:44 PM PST