08/02/2002 Archived Entry: "KS, MI Primary Contest:"
State your predictions here in your comments. Winners will be announced in each race according to three measures: 1) picking the winner; 2) the winners total percentage of vote; 3) margin of victory.
Predictions will be accepted up until the polls close on Tuesday, August 6th.
Here are the races to predict:
Kansas Governor
Republican Primary:
St. Treasurer Tim Shallenburger (R), Mayor Bob Knight (R), St. Sen. Dave Kerr (R), ex-school superintendent Dan Bloom (R)
Kansas 3rd Congressional District
Republican Primary:
Dr. Jeff Colyer (R), pilot / ex-navy officer Adam Taff (R)
Michigan Governor
Democratic Primary:
Att. Gen. Jennifer M. Granholm (D), ex-Gov. / ex-U.S. Rep. / ex-Amb. James J. "Jim" Blanchard (D), U.S. Rep. David E. Bonior (D)
Republican Primary:
Lt. Gov. Dick Posthumus (R), St. Sen. John "Joe" Schwarz (R)
Michigan 15th Congressional District
Democratic Primary:
U.S. Rep. John D. Dingell (D), U.S. Rep. Lynn Nancy Rivers (D)
Replies: 18 comments
This is on another topic -- I heard a about Reno having Elton John performing at a fundraiser. However, few read far enough into the article to see that the event is a week AFTER the primary, therby a loss negates the Elton john help. It could be a great kick off to the general election, but it seems to be an attempt to scare off McBride backers.
Posted by jim @ 08/02/2002 11:23 AM PST
McBride is our ONLY hope! Now as for my predictions.
Michigan
Republican---Posthumous wins with 80% of the vote
Democrats---Granholm wins it with 40% of the vote to Boniors 30 and Blanchards 20 something
Posted by GaDem @ 08/02/2002 09:14 PM PST
Michigan
GOP -- Posthumus 85% of vote
Democrats --
Granholm 42,
Bonior 33
Blanchard 25
Rivers v. Dingell
Rivers 52%
Dingell 48%
I'm predicting an upset here
Posted by Daniel D @ 08/03/2002 07:56 AM PST
I do not know how the primaries would turn out..but the prospect of the GOP getting its clock cleaned on November 5 is increasing every day. The only gains the GOP may have is what they got through redistricting.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A39673-2002Aug3.html
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 08/03/2002 01:24 PM PST
And not too far away in Illinois, GOP may go the way of their colleagues in California.
http://www.suntimes.com/output/elect/cst-nws-gov021.html
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 08/03/2002 01:26 PM PST
The GOP just cannot get privatization of retirement (social security) out of its head...obviously they have not learnt. With enemies like Paul O'Neill, the Democrats do not need too many friends.
"President Bush has called on Congress to ensure that individual Americans can control their own retirement savings (privatizing social security) and make their own investment decisions without undue constraints from employers (invest in stock markets as it goes down). Your retirement nest egg is yours alone -- you earned it, and you should have full legal rights to control it. The Senate is holding up this important legislation, and it is time to end that logjam."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A38297-2002Aug2.html
O'Neill (and Bush) fiddles while Wall Street Burns!
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 08/03/2002 01:37 PM PST
Neither a Pit Bull or a Lap Dog. More like the household pet of Elizabeth Smart that let her kidnapper get away.
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7BDC47D9CD%2D5940%2D4BC3%2DB580%2D55E2B75C2B08%7D&siteid=mktw
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 08/03/2002 01:48 PM PST
I don't get the sense that Rivers would be an upset. How bizzare that Tipper Gore would go in and campaign for Dingell, that was stupid.
Posted by myDD @ 08/03/2002 11:14 PM PST
In Michigan, my predictions are
Republican
Posthumus 75%
Schwartz 25%
Democrat
Granholm 45%
Bonior 30%
Blanchard 25%
Dingell/Rivers
Dingell 52%
Rivers 48%
In Kansas
Shallenburger 40%
Knight 37%
Kerr 21%
Bloom 2%
In other news, I really feel that the US economy is headed for a double dip recession. I feel that the reality of this will doom GOP chances of holding the House or gaining the Senate. If the economic data continues to grow worse over the next 3 months, then I see the Democrats winning the House and increasing their lead in the Senate. The wildcard could be if Dubya pulls and October suprise and invades Iraq just before the election.
Posted by Ced @ 08/04/2002 11:20 AM PST
KS Governor (R):
Shallenburger 39
Knight 36
Kerr 20
MI Governor (D):
Granholm 47
Bonior 29
Blanchard 24
MI Governor (R):
Posthumus 72
Schwartz 25
MI District 15 (D):
Dingell 53
Rivers 47
Posted by CA Pol Junkie @ 08/05/2002 10:27 AM PST
Rivers 53 Dingell 46
My guess is that Dingell support will be more passive and won't turn out for him in high enough numbers. AFL-CIO ads will help him but his age - and he's a nasty old man at that - will lead enough voters to say it's time for him to hang it up.
I'll copy all the other consensus picks in races I care very little about just so the score ranking doesn't get all fallacious: Shallenberger and Colyer win in Kansas, Granholm and Posthumous in Michigan.
Posted by C.D. @ 08/05/2002 05:41 PM PST
Michigan
Granholm 42%
Bonier 32%
Blanchard 26%
Posthumus 82%
Schwartz 18%
Dingell 53%
Rivers 47%
Kansas
Shallenberger 40%
Knight 38%
Kerr 22%
_
Colyer 54%
Taff 46%
Posted by MississippiDem @ 08/05/2002 09:00 PM PST
Kansas Gov
Shallenberger 39%
Knight 37%
Kerr 20%
Michigan Gov (D)
Granholm 44%
Bonoir 33%
Blanchard 23%
Michigan Gov (R)
Posthumus 80%
Scwartz 20%
Kansas House Race
Colyer 55%
Taff 45%
Michigan House
Rivers 52%
Dingell 48%
Posted by RSB @ 08/06/2002 08:57 AM PST
Dingell 51%
Rivers 49%
Colyer 52%
Taff 48%
Posthumus 76%
Schwartz 24%
Granholm 42%
Bonoir 35%
Blanchard 23%
Shallenberger 41%
Knight 37%
Kerr 22%
Posted by Brown @ 08/06/2002 12:19 PM PST
Kansas Governor
Republican Primary:
Shallenburger 41%
Knight 37%
Kerr 21%
Bloom 1%
Kansas 3rd Congressional District
Republican Primary:
Colyer 53%
Taff 45%
Michigan Governor
Democratic Primary:
Granholm 46%
Bonior 31%
Blanchard 23%
Republican Primary:
Posthumus 72%
Schwarz 23%
Michigan 15th Congressional District
Democratic Primary:
Rivers 53%
Dingell 46%
Posted by myDD @ 08/06/2002 03:14 PM PST
Here are web sites for election returns:
KS: http://www.kssos.org/election/ent.asp
MI: http://miboecfr.nicusa.com/election/results/02pri/
Posted by CA Pol Junkie @ 08/06/2002 03:58 PM PST
Pretty decisive win for Granholm.
http://www.freep.com/news/latestnews/pm10484_20020806.htm
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 08/06/2002 05:27 PM PST
Granholm 47%
Blanchard 30%
Bonior 23%
Rivers 55%
Dingell 45%
Posted by TOM @ 08/06/2002 05:45 PM PST
