08/08/2002 Archived Entry: "Democratic Primary results of myDD user poll"
Taken at face value, this myDD user poll is a good indicator for Dean that he is a viable candidate, and in the thick of the race for the Democratic nomination for President.
Since the poll looks unfreepable, Dean leading Gore either means that we have a Dean groupie thing going here on myDD, or, he's no Babbitt. Let's admit that we have a lean for Dean. However, he's obviously no Babbitt. Could it be that we are seeing signs amongst early-adopters when informed of his candidacy, positions, and persona?
Who is your first choice to win the Democratic nomination? [84 votes total]
Howard Dean (30) 36%
John Edwards (8) 10%
Dick Gephardt (3) 4%
Al Gore (25) 30%
John Kerry (18) 21%
Replies: 4 comments
WHERE exactly is Mr Dean going to get his votes in the primaries? A field composed of Al Gore, John Kerry, John Edwards, Roy Barnes, Joe Lieberman possibly etc Where is his support going to come from? New England will be carved up among three or four home territory candidates the South will be dominated by Gore, Barnes, and Edwards and in California you need lots of money and lots of name id which Dean won't have either. He is anti gun yea but so is Barnes. He supports civil unions, well yea so does Gore and Kerry
Posted by GaDem @ 08/09/2002 05:56 AM PST
excellent point, GaDem. I do no think it unlikely to have three early primaries won by three different people.
IOWA - Richard G
NH - JFK
SC - Edwards
And in all of these, Gore name ID alone will get him 25-30% with minimal ads.
Re: Barnes, I thought I was to only one who noticed his 4 new DEM seats and huge warchest as being a sign to DC rather than his potential Gov opps.
Posted by jimGAGOP @ 08/09/2002 03:02 PM PST
I thought that Dean is very pro guns..more so than even some southern GOP. If we do not invade Iraq by early next year, my expectation is that the economy would recover by late next year, and GW would win in 2004. If we invade Iraq, the economy will tank again and unemployment would climb to 8%..and that would be the end of GW and GOP for sometime to come. I am actually an economist and my organization has alternate scenario projections.
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 08/09/2002 03:11 PM PST
I was surprised to see Atlanta pull out of competition for the Democratic Convention in 2004, given all the other signs that Barnes has sent DC, as jimGA has noted. That said, I don't think he does more than fracture further an already complicated picture.
Dean's core supporters come from those who are politically attunned, progressive-libertarians, and fiscally responsible Democrats.
Ultimately, Dean's support would come from the same place as all the others, the 75% that say they would vote for Gore, Bradley, and HRC. He would have to be going for one of the final two slots, and win the head-to-head. If the primaries do wind up brokered early on amongst many candidates, his chance of emerging would by just as strong as others.
Posted by myDD @ 08/09/2002 07:57 PM PST
