09/10/2002 Archived Entry: "Sept 10th Primaries"
ABC has a primary webpage that links all of the state's election departments; though from my experience, local TV stations have websites that are more quickly updated.
Replies: 42 comments
I'd assume everyone's already seen it, but for those who've not: Political Wire is reporting via the Florida Insider Advantage (which requires subscription, so I'm figuring it's legit) that exit polls show McBride well ahead of Reno in Miami-Dade. Isn't that supposed to be HER strong area?
Posted by demtom @ 09/10/2002 01:53 PM PST
The Post is reporting that Anthony Williams pretty much has it in the bag. The News & Observer has Bowles winning by a lot, and, so far at least, has Robin Britt ahead of Billy Richardson in NC-13.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 05:38 PM PST
At 10:26 McBride 50% Reno 37%, Jones 12% with 18% reporting.
Posted by Eric M @ 09/10/2002 07:31 PM PST
10:54 McBride 51%, Reno 37% Jones 11% Something like 29% reporting, it's over.
Posted by Eric M @ 09/10/2002 07:59 PM PST
11:00
NC-News & Obsever has called Senate D primary for Bowles, 13th D primary for Miller, R primary neck-and-neck (and with participation among D's outnumbering R's by well over 2-1, I think the GOP can write off this race), 1st D primay for Ballance, and in an upset has Kouri looking like he'll beat Richardon-no call yet, but Richardson needs to make a move-and fast.
WI-Journal-Sentinel has a nailbiter, with 40% in, Doyle has 37, Barrett 33, Falk 30. Still could go any of the three ways.
FL-WFTS in Tampa, with 51% reporting, has McBride up 14-looks like he's got it wrapped up.
GA-Walker is claiming victory in the 12th, but the SoS site still has Allen ahead. Stay tuned.
NH-Concord Monitor has called R Senate primary for Sununu. In R Gov primary, Benson and Keough are too close to call, with Benson slightly ahead, but Humphrey has conceded. In Gov. D primary, no official, but Hollingworth has conceded to Fernald. No call yet in the 1st R primary, but Bradley leads Stephen (could the minor candidates ganging up on him have made a difference?).
MN-Star-Tribune has Trimico leading McGaa about 60-40.
Still no results from Arizona.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 08:07 PM PST
It's almost 11:30 EST. I've heard conflicting things about Reno's numbers in South Florida. Is McBride's lead holding up? Or are the Miami area votes enough to overpower his lead?
Posted by Oregonian @ 09/10/2002 08:25 PM PST
Hey, Ed McGaa is losing the Minnesota Senate nomination by 42.38-57.62% with 35.95% of precincts reporting.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/cgi-bin/duforum/duboard.cgi?az=show_thread&om=2011&forum=DCForumID61
Posted by MyDD @ 09/10/2002 08:31 PM PST
Even if she wins the court case, Satan's Offspring only has abuot 65% of the vote in FL-13.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 08:43 PM PST
Tight race in RI between Whitehorse and York, 39-38
http://www.newsday.com/news/politics/wire/sns-ap-rhode-island-governor0911sep10.story?coll=sns%2Dap%2Dpolitics%2Dheadlines
Posted by MyDD @ 09/10/2002 08:44 PM PST
Only 5% reporting in the Dem 13th CD Florida primary:
http://enight.dos.state.fl.us/SummaryRpt.asp?ElectionDate=09/10/2002&Datamode=E&RACE=USR&PARTY=DEM
Posted by MyDD @ 09/10/2002 08:45 PM PST
No call yet, but with only five precincts left to report, looks pretty safe for York.
With 74% reporting, Doyle is up 4 on Barrett, with Falk falling off a little bit.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 08:49 PM PST
At 11:30pm Mcbride was quoted at 50% to Reno's 38%. I don't know if there counting Dade or not in this calculation. I think he's got it in the bag if exit polls are quoting he's beating Reno in Miami Dade.
Harris is at 66% and her numbers continue to desend. I think she'll still win but it wasn't a slam dunk for her.
Posted by RUDY @ 09/10/2002 08:54 PM PST
Upset of the night so far-Kouri has beaten Richardson in the NC-8th. No word yet from the MD-8th, but in the MD-2nd, Ruppersburger so far has a bigger lead in his primary than Bentley does in hers-not a good sign for the GOP.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 08:59 PM PST
Any offical news on Sununu vs Smith?
Posted by RUDY @ 09/10/2002 09:00 PM PST
Sununu has beaten Smith, by about 8-any kind of close race is good news for the next Senator from New Hampshire, Jeanne Shaheen. The 1st is still too close to call.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 09:09 PM PST
Is it good news or bad news that Trimico appears to have beaten McGaa in the MN Green primary?
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 09:13 PM PST
Trimico is not as much of a hothead as McGaa so he might endorse Welstone. I don't know his plans yet.
Mcbride is now at 48% and Reno at 40%. It's gettting a bit more closer. I thought he'd give Reno a butt whippen on my end of the state but appearently he only got in the low 50's even high 40's. There's a good link below that's keeping track:
http://www.nbc-2.com/
Posted by RUDY @ 09/10/2002 09:21 PM PST
Any chance that we could have a repeat of 2000 if it looks like Jeb keeping the polls open longer makes a difference (and any chance that he did it knowing it would help the more beatable Reno)?
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 09:25 PM PST
From Wisconson-Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel has called the Gov primary for Doyle.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 09:30 PM PST
You know, if I were a Reno supporter, that 8% gap would look like a mountain; being a McBride guy, it seems flimsy.
Are the final results going to be delayed because of the screwups?
Posted by demtom @ 09/10/2002 09:32 PM PST
From Georgia-The AJC is reporting that Cynthia McKinney's dad has lost in his race for his State House seat. Also, Champ Walker has won his runoff.
And in Arizona, upsets seem to be on the rise-in the 1st, Udall is running 3rd, and DuVal is a non-factor in early returns, and in the 7th, with half the votes in, Grijalva is killing Richardson almost 2-to-1 (Atkins is leading a close race in the 2nd).
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 09:39 PM PST
I might be wrong on the AZ 1st-I was getting my info off the Arizona Republic site, while the SoS site has Prescott up 1 on Udall and 5 on Duvall,which I assume to be more accurate but is still surprising (the SoS site did confirm that Grijalva is blowing Richardson out in the 7th).
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 09:53 PM PST
Harris won with 68% of the vote. She's going to face trouble in the general with those numbers, in addition to the pending lawsuit.
Posted by RUDY @ 09/10/2002 10:00 PM PST
McBride at 46%, Reno at 42%.... Getting scary.
Posted by RParker @ 09/10/2002 10:17 PM PST
According to the SoS website, Udall has pulled into the lead in AZ-1 (with Hay leading by a thread for the GOP), Grijalva is way ahead in AZ-7, and Atkins is losing in AZ-2.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 10:27 PM PST
I'm getting nervous too! Reno is winning miami dade by a 3 to 1 margin, and the last of the votes are coming from that area. I only hope Jones is pulling enough liberal Reno votes for Mcbride to win.
Posted by RUDY @ 09/10/2002 10:28 PM PST
I still see McBride at 48% on the Florida site; where are these new returns shown?
Posted by Cecil @ 09/10/2002 10:37 PM PST
The Post has just called MD-8 for Van Hollen.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 10:41 PM PST
As of now the most updated site is the NBC-2 link I posted:
http://www.nbc-2.com/electionresults.shtml#Governor
Counties still being counted:
Palm Peach (2 to 1 Reno)
Miami Dade (Reno Ratio at its highest)
Hillsbourgh (Mcbride gives butt whoppen to Reno)
Orange
Collier
Desoto
Duval
St Lucie
Mcbride's lead is at 50,000 votes with 88% responding.
This might be cut in half within the next hour. I wouldn't doubt it if this turns into a Bush-Gore nail bitter. Reno is giving Mcbride a hurting in liberal counites while Mcbride sweeps conservative/moderate counties.
Another good link:
election.dos.state.fl.us/index.html
Posted by RUDY @ 09/10/2002 10:57 PM PST
Add Broward to the counties not yet finished
Posted by RUDY @ 09/10/2002 11:01 PM PST
I'm going to bed-it's getting too late for this. I hope I wake up to find McBride has the nomination.
Posted by AVADem @ 09/10/2002 11:02 PM PST
Mcbride at a 45,000 vote lead with 89.1% responding. At a -5000 drop per 1% Mcbride's in trouble. Hopefully his lead in conservative counties still being counted holds this number at bay. Duval county is even for both Reno and Mcbride.
Bush Vs Gore all over again!
Posted by RUDY @ 09/10/2002 11:20 PM PST
At 40,000 votes Mcbride's lead is continuing to deminish with 90.5% responding. I'm going to sleep now! May the best MAN Win!
Posted by RUDY @ 09/10/2002 11:52 PM PST
Based on current results of counties that have not yet completed voting, here is the amount that each candidate will "pick up" (that is, increase their margin of victory in the case of McBride or decrease their margin of loss in the case of Reno):
Reno gains 9221 in Broward
Reno gains 13583 in Miami-Dade
Reno gains 13778 in Palm Beach
Reno gains 270 in St. Lucie
Reno gains 25 votes in Duval
McBride gains 45 in Sumter
McBride gains 1453 in Orange
McBride gains 108 in Collier
Totals: Reno will decrease McBride's lead to:4811 votes
This total does not take into account Union county, however, which has yet to release any results. By the way, if these estimates are are accurate, we're looking at an automatic recount in Florida, again.
Posted by Cecil @ 09/11/2002 12:20 AM PST
Good lord I didn't think it be this close in the primary. Is Union city a conservative county?
What about St. Lucie and Duval? Who stands to benefit?
Posted by PollWatcher @ 09/11/2002 12:35 AM PST
One additional note then I'm going to bed:
None of these returns include "absentee or provisional ballots;" does anyone know how many of these there are, and if certain candidates supporters are more likely to use them?
Posted by Cecil @ 09/11/2002 12:41 AM PST
I'm not sure how Absentee or provisional ballots are going to work in this case Cecil. I read a story that suggested large numbers of Absentee ballots were going to be handed out by the Democrats in hopes of encouraging an increase of their use in Nov 2002 and 2004. Not sure about the provisionals. I'm starting to think that Reno will beat McBride. I hope she doesn't because I want Bush out of there but I think she might do it by say 2or 3,000 votes.
Posted by Shadow-Eyes @ 09/11/2002 12:57 AM PST
Extremely close in here in Florida right now.
An AP Article:
"This time it was the Democratic primary for governor, in which former Attorney General Janet Reno ( news - web sites) narrowly trailed lawyer Bill McBride. Early Wednesday, with 97 percent of precincts reporting, McBride had 596,472 votes, or 45 percent, compared with Reno's 577,380 votes, or 43 percent. State Sen. Daryl Jones ( news, bio, voting record) had 154,367 votes, or 12 percent.
Prospects for a quick resolution dimmed when several counties suspended counting overnight. They were to resume later Wednesday. "
Posted by Ced @ 09/11/2002 05:44 AM PST
I wake up only to find there still not done counting votes. With 97% of the ballots counted; Mcbride still holds his lead at a narrow 20,000+ votes to Reno. This still doesn't include the mysterious absentee ballots, which could decide this race either way.
Posted by RUDY @ 09/11/2002 05:45 AM PST
Anyone have any idea what the earliest date people were allowed to send in absentee ballots? Or how many there might be? If people were able to send these in 3 or 4 weeks ago, they likely favor Reno heavily, since it was before McBride's momentum really picked up.
Posted by ROC-Indy @ 09/11/2002 05:55 AM PST
With all, but 46 precints yet to come in, McBride leads by 11,288 votes. http://www.nbc-2.com/electionresults.shtml#Governor
McBride-599,465-45%
Reno-588,177-44%
Jones-155,699-11%
Is McBride in the clear? And if he has won, does he get any momentum at all? I doubt it. Still, with new voter anger at Bush over the voting fiasco, McBride (or, if Reno somehow prevails, then Reno)may still have a shot. Mason Dixon put him 12 points behind, 51-39. That's still within reach.
In Kentucky, an Independent poll gives Ann Northup a 46-36 lead over Jack Conway. A Democratic poll gave Northup a 49-39 lead, so Northup's lead is around ten. Regardless, Conway still has a shot, and that race must continue to be watched in November.
Posted by Mr. Liberal @ 09/11/2002 04:55 PM PST
Watch whether Northrup or any other incumbent is under 50 during the middle of october. If this is the case, we are looking at a possible anti-incumbent wave. However, as of now, I still see a deadlocked election.
Posted by G.C. Raj @ 09/11/2002 06:53 PM PST
