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2002 Mid-Term Election Day Notes

The House seems just about out of control for the Democrats. All early seats are going toward the Republicans, including the GA 12th and FL 5th, which add to the Republican majority. At my count, which started at 218-216-1 in favor of Democratic control, the balance now sits at 213-221-1, with Republicans assumed to winning IN 2nd, KY 3rd, NC 8th, GA 12th, and FL 5th. The AL 3rd currently is led by the Democrat, swinging it back one, to 214-220-1.

In Oklahoma, 33% in, Henry (D) w/ 48% over Largent (R) w/ 39%, Richardson (I) w/ 13%, Roberts (D) and Cole (R) tied 50%-50% in 4th... 36% reporting, Romney leads O'Brien 52-43 for MA Gov... NH Seante, Sununu leads Shaheen 52-46 with 48% reporting... Townsend (D) 52%, US Rep. Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. (R) 48% (37% reporting)... Allard leads Strickland, with 10% reporting, by a 53-44 margin... Carnahan leads talent 50-48, 16% of precincts reporting... MD 8th, Van Hollen ahead by 3% with 83% reported; MD 2nd, 50-50, Ruppersberger barely ahead... CT, Simmons ahead by 10%, Johnson ahead by 7%, with 62% reporting-- A GOP sweep in CT.

Senate projections here was 53-46-1 Democratic, Sununu defeats Shaheen in NH Senate race, now at 52-47-1... 49% reporting - Graham (R) 53% Sanders (d) 46% with 77% reporting... Talent pulls back ahead of Carnahan 51-48... Landrieu at 48% the Freepers are happy, I can tell you that much.

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JB Armstrong on Nov 5 @ 7:01 PM | TrackBack
Comments

Graham (R) projected winner SC Senate; Richardson (D) projected winner Arizona Governor

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 07:07 PM

Don't you mean Richardson -New Mexico?

Posted by: Ga6thDem on November 5, 2002 07:08 PM

Richardson is steam rolling Sanchez. Could that bode well for House races in NM?

Posted by: GaDem on November 5, 2002 07:09 PM

Cathy Cox should definatley be the Senate Dem nominee to replace Miller in 2004!

Secretary Of State
49% of precincts reporting

Cathy Cox (D) 524,347 61.5%
Charlie Bailey (R) 299,949 35.2%
Mike Pitts (Lib) 27,912 3.3%

Posted by: GaDem on November 5, 2002 07:11 PM

Robert Erlich is back in the lead in MD Governor with 46 % precents reporting. 51-49

Posted by: Sterling on November 5, 2002 07:12 PM

I don't know you guys. with 71% of the precicts in Bush's 21% lead over McBride has dropped to about 16%. Have they counted Miami-Dave, Palm Beach and Broward yet?

JOhn Jimenez

Posted by: Shadow-Eyes on November 5, 2002 07:12 PM

The more I look at the Ga returns, it looks like Cleland is in trouble. The gap isn't closing quickly enough.

Posted by: DepressedDem on November 5, 2002 07:17 PM

CNN called NH Sununu - F*ck.

Posted by: BJ on November 5, 2002 07:17 PM

Interesting how Garrett is absolutely steamrolling Sumers by 30%... Ferguson up by 15% or so...

Of course, I had long since conceeded Lautenberg would win...

Posted by: Mr. Moderate on November 5, 2002 07:19 PM

Cleland is fine. Barnes is in the same shape.

Posted by: GaDem on November 5, 2002 07:19 PM

MD has some real nailbiters.

Posted by: MyDD on November 5, 2002 07:19 PM

Townsend's leading again (barely) 50-49-1 with 67% reporting

Posted by: Sterling on November 5, 2002 07:21 PM

...Uhmm. This is interesting. With 74% of Floridas precincts in jebs lead over McBride has dropped to about 14 1/2 percent from 22% it looks like to me.

John Jimenez

Posted by: Shadow-Eyes on November 5, 2002 07:24 PM

The big surprise to me is that Perdue seems to be giving Barnes a real run for it so far.

Posted by: GaDem on November 5, 2002 07:26 PM

without knowledge or specific precint results based on past results, i dont' think you can read much into the results so far.

Posted by: eplosiveliberal on November 5, 2002 07:28 PM

How can you call GA-12 yet?

United States Representative - 12th District
63% of precincts reporting

Charles "Champ" Walker (D) 37,581 49.2%
Max Burns (R) 38,848 50.8%

Posted by: GaDem on November 5, 2002 07:28 PM

Carcieri up by 8 in RI...
Baladacci only up by 8 in ME...
Romney up by 9 in MA...
Douglas up by 1 in VT...
Benson in a landslide...
Pataki is golden...

Looks like my Northeastern GOP wave is coming through...

Posted by: Mr. Moderate on November 5, 2002 07:31 PM

I really REALLY wish Fulton and Dekalb counties would come in so they could call Georgia! Ahhhhh!

Posted by: GaDem on November 5, 2002 07:31 PM

CBS calls Georgia for Chambliss

Posted by: Prime on November 5, 2002 07:33 PM

CBS News has now called the Georgia Senate seat for Chambliss.

Posted by: BJD on November 5, 2002 07:33 PM

The Ga Dems are in serious trouble tonight. I don't think Cleland can make up the deficit at this point. This sucks.

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 07:35 PM

uh, check out drudge...

Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Harvey Pitt has resigned...

zowee.

Posted by: peterd on November 5, 2002 07:35 PM

Maryland Update.
Still too close to call.

Erlich is leading 51-48-1 with 81% reporting.

Hollen is leading Morella in MD 8 51-48-1 (84% reporting)

Posted by: Sterling on November 5, 2002 07:35 PM

who cares about Harvey Pitt, The thought of living in a Bush nation makes me loose all hope for this world

Posted by: explosiveliberal on November 5, 2002 07:37 PM

So it comes down to Carnahan and Johnson.

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 07:38 PM

they both have to win I take it

Posted by: explosiveliberal on November 5, 2002 07:39 PM

Do you have SC wrong, or is it me: the last figures I have are:

STATE TOTAL
100,639 D
51.00%

94,331 R
47.80%

Posted by: jdw on November 5, 2002 07:39 PM

Johnson's up (precariously) and Carnahan's down.

Posted by: Joey Dee on November 5, 2002 07:39 PM

How can you call GA-12 yet?

should say "are going" instead of "have gone" The FL 5th is down to about 2k lead for the GOP sign-stealer.

Posted by: MyDD on November 5, 2002 07:41 PM

Barnes looks like he is going down also. This is an unmitigated disaster.

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 07:42 PM

FOX calls it for Chambliss.

Posted by: AC on November 5, 2002 07:44 PM

Strange, CNN is saying Bonilla defeats Ceullar, when they have the vote tally as:

Bonilla (incumbent) 11,237 26%
6% of precincts reporting
Cuellar 31,166 73%

Posted by: MyDD on November 5, 2002 07:45 PM

no dan rather, this is not a bushification. it's a bushwacking! i'm going to puke. more wingnuts in the senate.

Posted by: ariella on November 5, 2002 07:45 PM

So, right now, if the polls hold, we're right back where we started with the Senate, 50-49-1, Dems retain control.

Not a disaster, but not really anything.

Posted by: Joey Dee on November 5, 2002 07:46 PM

Freudenthal is winning so far in Wyoming. It looks like Jeb's won. Low turnout being the basis of his victory.
Georgia worries me! I hope Cleland survives!

Posted by: RUDY on November 5, 2002 07:47 PM

That is, if Mondale wins.

Posted by: Joey Dee on November 5, 2002 07:47 PM

still it will look like a bush mandate. and then what about Louisiana. Looks like the south has risen and won

Posted by: eplosiveliberal on November 5, 2002 07:49 PM

Oddly Sigelemen in Alabama is also ahead while Hodges looks like he will lose!

Posted by: RUDY on November 5, 2002 07:49 PM

I'm seeing Minnesota numbers with Coleman leading but they are all based on 0 percent reporting.

Chambliss sucks. The south (I am a southerner) will believe anything. That's how my dirt poor ancestors got rooked into fighting a war to protect the right to own slaves, a right they were far too poor to ever hope of excercising.

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 07:49 PM

Yeah, I used to live in Chambliss' district and I tell you he is nothing but a rubber state and farm welfare proponet. So all you conservatives out there (especially from the NE) start complaining about taxes--this is who you are supporting.

Posted by: Ga6thDem on November 5, 2002 07:52 PM

Townsend is going to lose. She's down
90,000 votes with only 7% left to report.

Posted by: Prime on November 5, 2002 07:52 PM

It will be a sad day for liberals tommorow.

Posted by: explosiveliberal on November 5, 2002 07:52 PM

It looks like the Ga. GOP may get their referendum on the confederate battle flag after all.

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 07:54 PM

Henry's going to win OK.

Posted by: Joey Dee on November 5, 2002 07:55 PM

CNN: Romney and Ehrlich.

My parents tell me KKT ran a dreadful campaign and deserved to lose, but where Romney fits in, I don't know.

Posted by: Andrew Lazarus on November 5, 2002 07:55 PM

I just realized that I wasn't counting right.

If the numbers hold, the Republicans get the Senate. I don't know what I was thinking.

Posted by: Joey Dee on November 5, 2002 07:57 PM

Remember: Dems still going to gain govs - so no GOP trend, let alone mandate. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. (And they'll try.)

Posted by: BJ on November 5, 2002 07:57 PM

Turnham slipped back behind in Alabama...

Posted by: MyDD on November 5, 2002 07:58 PM

yeah republicans get the senate...

i can't believe this...

distaster for democrats

the economy is in chambles yet
Bush coattails

are Americans that stupid?

Posted by: smartone on November 5, 2002 07:58 PM

I was at the Wellstone memorial last week. I saw a wonderful 3.5 hour event with about 5 minutes of one speech being over the top. The media really spun that isolated 5 minutes BIG TIME. I wonder how much that effected tonight's races? Any thoughts?

Posted by: tomtom on November 5, 2002 07:58 PM

Cleland's campaign was weak and his debate performance was dreadful. He didn't seem to want it bad enough.

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 07:59 PM

Prime's right. Townsend is dead.

Posted by: Sterling on November 5, 2002 07:59 PM

The Repubs are already claiming that the results are a big victory for them. Whether it is true or not, it may well be perceived that way by the country and certainly spun that way by the WH.

Posted by: BJD on November 5, 2002 08:01 PM

Unbelievable, Cleland lost.

Posted by: MyDD on November 5, 2002 08:01 PM

Well, I hate to say it, but if they make gains in the House and take back the Senate, it will be a big victory.

Posted by: Joey Dee on November 5, 2002 08:02 PM

To borrow a sports cliche, the outburst at the Wellstone memorial service was "bulletin board material" for the opposition. Should Mondale lose, it certainly will be the reason.

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 08:02 PM

Democrats are sweeping up a lot of Gov seats, but if they lose the Senate today, man! But look, Carnahan and Johnson haven't lost yet.

What about COlorado, that came out of nowhere!

Posted by: MyDD on November 5, 2002 08:03 PM

No, I don't think it was the Wellstone Memorial (except if Mondale loses). I think the Dems were just a little too quiet. I think the idea was to run a low-risk campaign, not confronting Bush, either because Zell Miller would desert, or just because they were worried about a big blowout loss if they tried "va banque". And it's true, the Dems aren't losing HUGE numbers of seats, it's just they didn't have any cushion to start with. (Strickland looks bad, BTW.) This was the strategy for a party leading 55-45.

I do wish the Dems had the focus and ferocity that Newt Gingrich showed in 1994, with his Contract On America, but they don't.

Posted by: Andrew Lazarus on November 5, 2002 08:04 PM

And now Thune is gaining on Johnson, big time.

Posted by: Joey Dee on November 5, 2002 08:06 PM

If they take back the Senate, the republicans will argue that this is a bush victpry. In doing so they will also claim its support for a second Gulf War.

Posted by: Prime on November 5, 2002 08:07 PM

Im shocked of tonights outcome. The Republicans now control all branches of government. The Dems seem to have lost all the senate races, they will only pick of AR. They will lose 4 seats. This is going to be an awful 2 years.

Posted by: paguy on November 5, 2002 08:07 PM

Oh Hell, Romney... I can't take four more years of these guys...

Democratic message was bad. Time to sweep out and try some new ideas.

1. more balls on the war
2. find out what happened on the economy. Anti-tax cut was a loser.
3. mend fences with black voters.

Posted by: Eric M on November 5, 2002 08:08 PM

shocking
this is a fearful country now.. and Bush Inc played into that fear.
This is a man that lost the election in 2000
thanks to a bunch of terrorist we now have a republician police state about to start World War III

i guess bin laden got what he wanted

Posted by: smartone on November 5, 2002 08:09 PM

Guys, I'm telling you. A repub controlled governt. will drag us into a big mess in the middle east as far and destabilize the world. Repubs understand very little on forign policy concerning the middle east. The postings on this website as well as well the collapse of Sharon's government all prove this. If I were Saddam Hussein I'd dig a bunker all the way down to hell. The new govt. Head of Turkey's government who won in their elections a few weeks past has already said he wont help us in Iraq. So we are heading in the era of Vietnam once again.
***Sigh

John Jimenez

Posted by: Shadow-Eyes on November 5, 2002 08:09 PM

It appears that Ga. governor Roy Barnes, who outspent his opponent 10-1, will lose tonight. Unfreakingbelievable.

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 08:10 PM

Well this is the time to start to work on 2004. I think that the nation will not want to continue to give Bush a blank check for 4 more years. He will be extremely hard right now. If he thought he had a mandate with losing the popular vote--can you imagine what he thinks now. To me the worst thing is that there will be no independent commission for 9/11. I feel really sorry for those families.

Posted by: Ga6thDem on November 5, 2002 08:10 PM

new friggin thread :(

Posted by: MyDD on November 5, 2002 08:11 PM

While I'd rather not give up on democracy, I wonder whether we can govern ourselves at all. I admit not liking many of Bush's social positions, but the ones about which we ought to have a broad, thoughtful consensus--war, fiscal soundness, fairly paying for government--are sold using one-liners and sound bites. If one can sell war by repeating charges that are clearly unfounded (such as a link between al-Qaida and Saddam), what's left?

Posted by: on November 5, 2002 08:11 PM

You know how you can tell tonight is a disaster: 1) Everything for the democrats is hard, it takes forever to call Democrat wins. 2)I saw Begala and Carville talking on the crossfire set and though they didn't explicitly say it, they implied that Democrat leadership heads should roll, and the message should change.

Posted by: Prime on November 5, 2002 08:11 PM

What about Lincold Chafee or Snowe who could flip and follow jeffords path?

John Jimenez

Posted by: Shadow-Eyes on November 5, 2002 08:11 PM

Okay most Liberals here need to get involved with there local democratic parties it looks like we need to turn the democratic party back to its liberal base. The new democrat has failed. We need to return to the "New Deal" Democrats. Just my 2cents.

Posted by: tk421 on November 5, 2002 08:12 PM

I am going to get arrested a lot in the next 2 years. I can feel it coming.

Posted by: jbnc on November 5, 2002 08:27 PM

This country may not be worth leading.

For instance - Georgia. Anyone really want to represent a state that would actually believe that a man who threw himself on a grenade doesn't support the defense of his country?

Posted by: jbnc on November 5, 2002 08:29 PM

Does anyone know election law in OK? I heard that you had to have 50% + 1 to win the governorship

Posted by: karin1492 on November 5, 2002 08:39 PM

First off, this is my first message here.
Secondly, I want to thank MyDD for having this forum, and all the good company it keeps.

Lastly, what we are witnessing is nothing less than the abject failure of our party to actually STAND UP FOR WHAT IT SUPPOSEDLY BELIEVES IN. The message fell flat because OUR "leaders" were too busy having tea at the home of a Tyco CEO (already under investigation) to bother listening to the RANK AND FILE. Our countrymen and women may be undereducated, but they are NOT stupid. We were in a "put up or shut up" situation, and those we looked to for leadership baulked while turning to accept a check from the WRONG PEOPLE. People can see that, whether we care to accept it or not.

We have to start all over and get it right next time. If we don't, it may be quite a while before we even get to practice Democracy.

Posted by: Emocrat on November 5, 2002 08:44 PM

AP is calling Oklahoma for Henry, but Largent won't concede.

Posted by: AVADem on November 5, 2002 09:47 PM

Chafee might become an Independent, but I doubt Snowe will switch.

Pelosi seems like an awesome bet to lead a resurgance of the New Deal Democrats. If Steny Hoyer beats out Pelosi for the House leadership, what about a Pelosi presidential run?

Posted by: Tony on November 5, 2002 11:06 PM

Freaking Democrat winners!

Posted by: wwwwwww on November 13, 2002 08:19 PM
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